Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyCohort study

A proteomic analysis of atrial fibrillation in a prospective longitudinal cohort (AGES-Reykjavik study)

EuropacePublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • population-based
  • bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization

Authors' conclusion

The AF proteomic signature includes biologically relevant proteins, some of which may be causal. It mainly reflects an NT-proBNP-dependent consequence of the genetic liability to AF. N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide is a promising marker for incident AF in the short term, but risk assessment incorporating a PRS may improve long-term risk assessment.

Study context

Population
Older adults in the population-based AGES-Reykjavik study; 4137 serum proteins vs incident atrial fibrillation (AF)1,172 developed AF
Participants
4,765 adults
Outcome
Incident AF (associations with 4137 baseline serum proteins)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Proteomic signature of incident AF

Proteins in the AF signature

76

Novel proteins

63 (83%)

Replicated in Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS)

29 (38%)

Causal candidates (TAGLN, WARS, CHST15, CHMP3, COL15A1, DUSP13, MANBA, QSOX2, SRL)

Nine

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Reverse causal analysis

Most AF-associated proteins affected by genetic liability to AF

Prediction of incident AF (time-dependent AUC)

N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) improved prediction of incident AF close to baseline; AF-PRS gave further improvements at all time points

Original publication

A proteomic analysis of atrial fibrillation in a prospective longitudinal cohort (AGES-Reykjavik study). Europace. Published 15 November 2023. doi:10.1093/europace/euad320

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it