Prevention & lipids

Abdominal Compared With Coronary Artery Calcification and Incident Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Black Adults

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

AAC is comparable to CAC in predicting cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality among Black adults, potentially valuable when CAC is absent.

Study context

Population
Black adults without CVD, JHS visit 2 (2005–2008), followed through 2016
Participants
2,551 adults
Exposure
Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) vs coronary artery calcium (CAC) for predicting CV events and mortality
Outcome
Incident CV events:
  • MI
  • Stroke
  • HF
  • All-cause mortality
Follow-up
12.6 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

CV events, per 2-fold increase (adjusted)
Per 2-fold increase
Hazard ratio (95% CI)
CAC
1.10(1.06–1.13)
AAC
1.10(1.06–1.13)

Per 2-fold increase, as printed

CV events observed
287 (11.3%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
All-cause mortality, per 2-fold increase (adjusted)CAC1.04 (1.01–1.08)
All-cause mortality, per 2-fold increase (adjusted)AAC1.05 (1.01–1.08)
AAC in participants with 0 CAC (subgroup)CV events, per 2-fold increase1.07 (1.01–1.19)

Net reclassification index

OutcomeCACAAC
Incremental value added to pooled cohort equation (net reclassification index)0.17 (95% CI 0.08–0.23)0.15 (95% CI 0.07–0.29)
All-cause mortality, per 2-fold increase (adjusted) — Mortality cases observed
360 (14.1%)
AAC in participants with 0 CAC (subgroup) — Participants with 0 CAC showing some AAC
45%

Incremental value added to pooled cohort equation (net reclassification index)

Incremental value comparable

AAC in participants with 0 CAC (subgroup)

Not associated with all-cause mortality

Original publication

Abdominal Compared With Coronary Artery Calcification and Incident Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Black Adults. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 27 November 2024. doi:10.1161/circimaging.124.016775

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