Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Aetiology, management, and outcomes of acute heart failure in 17 African countries (THESUS-HF II): a prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study

LancetPublished

  • Prospective observational cohort study
  • multicentre
  • 50 hospitals in 17 African countries

Authors' conclusion

Compared with THESUS-HF, THESUS-HF II suggests an evolving aetiological profile of acute heart failure in Africa, although differences in ascertainment and diagnostic capability might have contributed to the apparent aetiological shift.

Study context

Population
Adults (≥18 years) with acute HF in Africa, enrolled during seven 24 h surveillance periods within an 8-week site-specific window, 2024–20251,741 assessed
Participants
1,578 adults
Outcome
Acute HF aetiology, treatment patterns, presentation rates, readmission and all-cause mortality
Follow-up
180 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Weekly acute HF presentation rate, overall (per 10 000 people)
0.03 (95% CI 0.02-0.05)
Weekly de novo acute HF presentation rate (per 10 000 people)
0.02 (0.01-0.04)
De novo acute HF
1007 (64.2%) of 1568
Aetiology: hypertensive heart disease
576 [36.5%] of 1578
Aetiology: cardiomyopathy
370 [23.4%]
Aetiology: ischaemic heart disease
367 [23.3%]
In-hospital mortality
8.7% (95% CI 7.3-10.2; 134 of 1542)
All-cause mortality at 30 days
11.1% (95% CI 9.6-12.9; 160 deaths)
All-cause mortality at 180 days
20.6% (18.4-23.0; 255 deaths)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Discharge medication

RAAS inhibitors
1014 (73.9%) of 1373
β blockers
1053 (76.9%) of 1369
MRA
982 (71.9%) of 1366
SGLT2 inhibitors
743 (54.7%) of 1359
Target doses reached in fewer than half of patients

Hospital ward stay

Median hospital ward stay (days)
6.0 (IQR 4.0-10.0)

All-cause mortality by aetiological group

No difference over 30 days (log-rank)
P = 0.39
Differed over 180 days
P = 0.019

Original publication

Aetiology, management, and outcomes of acute heart failure in 17 African countries (THESUS-HF II): a prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study. Lancet. Published 30 August 2026. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(26)01657-0

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it