Valvular & structural heart disease

AI-Enhanced Prediction of Aortic Stenosis Progression: Insights From the PROGRESSA Study

JACC AdvPublished Prognostic modelling study

Authors' conclusion

This study demonstrates how an artificial intelligence-guided approach in clinical routine could help enhance risk stratification of AS.

Study context

Population
Patients with mild-to-moderate AS at baseline in the PROGRESSA study
Participants
303 patients
Comparison
Machine/deep learning models vs standard clinical logistic regression model
Outcome
Prediction of AS progression (AUC)
Follow-up
Next 2 years and next 5 years
Methodological detailsmachine and deep learning, longitudinal annual follow-up
  • Machine and deep learning
  • Longitudinal annual follow-up

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of AS progression (average AUC across patient visits)
Test or modelAUC at 2 yearsAUC at 5 years
LightGBM0.850.83

LightGBM

AUC at 2 years0.85
AUC at 5 years0.83

Original publication

AI-Enhanced Prediction of Aortic Stenosis Progression: Insights From the PROGRESSA Study. JACC Adv. Published 11 September 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2024.101234

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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