Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Association of the 2018 U.S. Heart Allocation Policy Change and the Survival Benefit of Heart Transplantation

JACC Heart FailPublished

  • Observational cohort study
  • seasonally matched cohort
  • mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards model

Authors' conclusion

The 2018 heart allocation policy change has led to better stratification and prioritization of candidates by clinical acuity, resulting in higher survival benefit of transplantation performed.

Study context

Population
US adult heart transplant candidates, 111 centres
Participants
23,043 candidates · 111 centers
Exposure
Post-policy vs pre-policy
  • Post-policyn = 12,021
  • Pre-policyn = 11,022reference
Outcome
Survival benefit of transplantation (increase in average days alive after transplantation)
Follow-up
3 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Average 3-year survival benefit of transplantation, all statuses (per donor heart) · 3 years after transplantation

Average 3-year survival benefit across all statuses increased from pre-policy to post-policy

217.1 days to 241.2 days per donor heart (P < 0.001)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Absolute 3-year survival benefit, highest priority status · more than doubled

P < 0.001

Life-years saved from transplantation, first 3 years after implementation

Additional life-years saved with the 2018 policy change
1,645 (4,259 vs 5,904; P < 0.001)

Long-run survival benefit, all statuses

All statuses experienced a positive long-run survival benefit of transplantation

Original publication

Association of the 2018 U.S. Heart Allocation Policy Change and the Survival Benefit of Heart Transplantation. JACC Heart Fail. Published 4 June 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jchf.2025.02.026

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it