Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyRandomised controlled trial

Biomarker-Based ABC-AF Risk Scores for Personalized Treatment to Reduce Stroke or Death in Atrial Fibrillation: A Registry-Based, Multicenter, Randomized, Controlled Study

CirculationPublished

  • Randomised controlled trial
  • multicentre
  • registry-based
  • open-label
  • prematurely terminated
  • Enrollment prematurely terminated owing to safety concerns with a trend toward higher mortality in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥3

Authors' conclusion

The individually tailored multidimensional treatment strategy, based on ABC-AF risk scores, did not improve clinical outcomes compared with usual guideline-based care in patients with AF.

Study context

Population
Adults with AFITT population
Participants
3,933 adults
Comparison
ABC-AF risk score-guided treatment strategy vs standard of care
Primary endpoint
Composite of:
  • Stroke
  • Death
Follow-up
Median 2.6 years

Primary result

Stroke or death

Hazard ratio

1.19

95% CI 0.96–1.48

P = 0.12

Events by treatment group

ABC-AF strategy

3.18/100 patient-years

175 events

Standard of care

2.67/100PY

148 events

ABC-AF strategy vs Standard of care
HR 1.19 (95% CI 0.96–1.48); P = 0.12

As reported in the abstract

Secondary outcomes

Stroke · median follow-up 2.6 years

Stroke, ABC-AF strategy vs Standard of care: 48 (0.87/100PY) vs 41 (0.74/100PY)
HR 1.18 (95% CI 0.78-1.79); P=0.44
  • ITT

Death · median follow-up 2.6 years

Death, ABC-AF strategy vs Standard of care: 136 (2.44/100PY) vs 113 (2.02/100PY)
HR 1.21 (95% CI 0.94-1.55); P=0.13
  • ITT

Composite of stroke, death or major bleeding · median follow-up 2.6 years

Stroke, death or major bleeding, ABC-AF strategy vs Standard of care: 277 (5.21/100PY) vs 244 (4.55/100PY)
HR 1.14 (95% CI 0.96-1.36); P=0.13
  • ITT

Safety

Major bleeding · median follow-up 2.6 years

Major bleeding, ABC-AF strategy vs Standard of care: 152 (2.82/100PY) vs 141 (2.61/100PY)
HR 1.08 (95% CI 0.86-1.36); P=0.50
  • ITT

Original publication

Biomarker-Based ABC-AF Risk Scores for Personalized Treatment to Reduce Stroke or Death in Atrial Fibrillation: A Registry-Based, Multicenter, Randomized, Controlled Study. Circulation. Published 30 August 2025. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.125.076725

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it