Pulmonary vascular disease & thromboembolismCohort study

Bleeding Risk With Apixaban Versus Rivaroxaban: A Reference Trial Emulation Predicting the Results of COBRRA-VTE and COBRRA-AF Using US Health Care Claims

Circ Popul Health OutcomesPublished

  • cohort studies designed to emulate COBRRA-VTE and COBRRA-AF
  • 3 US health care insurance claims databases (Medicare, Optum Clinformatics, Merative MarketScan)
  • 1:1 propensity score matching
  • fixed-effects meta-analyses
  • Protocols were preregistered on ClinicalTrials.gov before inferential analyses were conducted

Authors' conclusion

In database studies that closely emulated the design and measurements of the COBRRA-VTE and COBRRA-AF trials, a substantially lower risk of bleeding with apixaban was observed, consistent with the results of COBRRA-VTE (published after completion of our analyses), and indirect comparisons from other trials.

Study context

Population
Patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in US health care insurance claims databasesmatched pairs per emulation · COBRRA-VTE emulation 14,023 matched pairs · COBRRA-AF emulation 176,990 matched pairs
Exposure
the risk of bleeding with apixaban was evaluated relative to the risk with rivaroxaban
Outcome
Composite of:
  • Major bleeding
  • Clinically relevant non-major bleeding recorded in the inpatient setting

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

apixaban

12.8

COBRRA-VTE emulation · COBRRA-AF emulation 6.4

rivaroxaban

19.1

COBRRA-VTE emulation · COBRRA-AF emulation 9.2

apixaban vs rivaroxabanHazard ratio (95% CI)
COBRRA-VTE emulation; 31% decreased risk
0.69(0.59–0.79)
COBRRA-AF emulation; 31% decreased risk
0.69(0.66–0.71)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Bleeding Risk With Apixaban Versus Rivaroxaban: A Reference Trial Emulation Predicting the Results of COBRRA-VTE and COBRRA-AF Using US Health Care Claims. Circ Popul Health Outcomes. Published 2 July 2026. doi:10.1161/circoutcomes.125.012892

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it