Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and NT-proBNP Thresholds for the Assessment of Prognosis in Patients Without Heart Failure

JACC AdvPublished Prognostic cohort study

Performance · All-cause mortalityResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.44 95% CI 1.32–4.53

Authors' conclusion

We here describe sex-specific BNP/NT-proBNP thresholds that allow prediction of impaired survival in patients without heart failure, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

Study context

Population
Patients without known HF or elevated BNP/NT-proBNP, Essen CAD registry (age 62.9 ± 12.5 years, 71% male, 68% with CAD)169 deaths
Participants
3,690 patients
Comparison
BNP/NT-proBNP above vs below sex-specific thresholds
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Follow-up
Mean 2.6 ± 3.4 years (median 1.2 [IQR: 0.4-2.88])
Methodological detailsregistry-based, derivation and validation, random split into derivation and validation cohorts, ROC analysis with Youden's J index, univariate and multivariable Cox regression
  • Registry-based, derivation and validation
  • Random split into derivation and validation cohorts
  • ROC analysis with Youden's J index
  • Univariate and multivariable Cox regression

Performance

As reported in the abstract

mean follow-up 2.6 ± 3.4 years

Hazard ratio

2.44

95% CI 1.32–4.53

P = 0.005

BNP/NT-proBNP abovevs below sex-specific thresholds
HR 2.44 (95% CI 1.32–4.53); P = 0.005
Predictive value confirmed in validation cohort
HR: 2.78 [95% CI: 1.26-6.14], P = 0.01

Original publication

BNP and NT-proBNP Thresholds for the Assessment of Prognosis in Patients Without Heart Failure. JACC Adv. Published 16 November 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2023.100688

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