Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesResearch article

Body Mass Index, Clinical Outcomes, and Mortality in Heart Failure

J Am Coll CardiolPublished

  • Two-sample Mendelian randomisation study
  • Genome-wide association study (GWAS) of time-to-event outcomes
  • 22 cohorts

Authors' conclusion

Among patients with HF, higher BMI was associated with increased all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization

Study context

Population
Individuals of European ancestry with established heart failure (HF) (12 HF trials, 1 case-cohort study, 9 cohorts nested in non-HF CV trials, UK Biobank)
Participants
50,636 individuals · 22 cohorts
Comparison
Genetically predicted higher body mass index (BMI)
Outcome
All-cause mortality; composite of CV mortality or HF hospitalisation
Follow-up
Median 27.0 months

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Genetically predicted BMI (per SD [4.8 BMI units])
Genetically predicted BMI per SD [4.8 BMI units]Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
all-cause mortality
1.21(1.13–1.29)
P = 9 × 10-8
CV mortality or HF hospitalisation
1.29(1.20–1.38)
P = 8 × 10-13

Per SD [4.8 BMI units], as printed

Mean BMI
29.2 ± 5.8 kg/m²
All-cause mortality events
11,454 (23%)
Composite endpoint events
11,360 (22%)

Further findings

By left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) subgroup (≤40% and >40%)

ComparisonHR (95% CI)
Genetically predicted BMI · all-cause mortality, LVEF ≤40%1.16 (0.99–1.37)
Genetically predicted BMI · all-cause mortality, LVEF >40%1.20 (0.94–1.53)
Genetically predicted BMI · composite, LVEF ≤40%1.30 (1.15–1.48)
Genetically predicted BMI · composite, LVEF >40%1.57 (1.29–1.91)

By LVEF subgroup (≤40% and >40%)

Associations consistent across LVEF ≤40% and >40%

Original publication

Body Mass Index, Clinical Outcomes, and Mortality in Heart Failure. J Am Coll Cardiol. Published 22 April 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2026.02.5093

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it