Arrhythmias & electrophysiologyCohort study

Burden of cardiometabolic disorders and lifetime risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation among men and women: the Rotterdam Study

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • population-based

Authors' conclusion

We observed a significant combined impact of cardiometabolic disorders on AF risk, in particular among women. Participants with cardiometabolic multimorbidity had a significantly higher lifetime risk of AF, especially at a young index age.

Study context

Population
Men and women free of atrial fibrillation (AF) at baseline (1996–2008), population-based Rotterdam Study4,101 men · 5421 women
Exposure
Burden of cardiometabolic disorders, by sex
Outcome
New-onset AF and remaining lifetime risk of AF
Follow-up
Median 12.8 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

New-onset AF per larger burden of cardiometabolic disorders
HR
Larger burden (women)women; fully adjusted
1.33(95% CI 1.22–1.46)
Larger burden (men)men; fully adjusted
1.18(CI 1.08–1.29)

Per larger burden of cardiometabolic disorders, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeValues
Lifetime risk of AF, men, by number of disorders · index age 55 years0 27.1% (95% CI 20.8–33.4) · 1 26.5% (95% CI 22.8–30.5) · 2 29.9% (95% CI 26.7–33.2) · 3 30.8% (95% CI 25.7–35.8) · ≥4 33.3% (95% CI 23.1–43.6)
Lifetime risk of AF, women, by number of disorders · index age 55 years0 15.8% (95% CI 10.5–21.2) · 1 23.0% (95% CI 19.8–26.2) · 2 29.7% (95% CI 26.8–32.6) · 3 26.2% (95% CI 20.8–31.6) · ≥4 34.2% (95% CI 17.3–51.1)

Original publication

Burden of cardiometabolic disorders and lifetime risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation among men and women: the Rotterdam Study. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 2 February 2024. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwae045

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it