Cardio-oncology & otherCohort study

Burden of Cardiovascular Outcomes After SARS-CoV-2 Infection in South Korea and Japan: A Binational Population-Based Cohort Study

CirculationPublished

  • Population-based cohort study
  • binational
  • nationwide
  • propensity score-based overlap weighting
  • discovery and validation cohorts

Authors' conclusion

This binational study observed associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and cardiovascular events during extended follow-up across viral eras. Complete vaccination was linked to lower cardiovascular events. However, the absolute risk of cardiovascular disease events after SARS-CoV-2 infection remained remarkably low, particularly for stroke and ischemic heart disease.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥20 years in Korean (K-CONV-N, discovery) and Japanese (JMDC, validation) nationwide cohorts, January 1, 2020 to December 31, 20227,960,357 in overlap-weighted discovery cohort
Exposure
SARS-CoV-2 infection vs no infection
Outcome
Risk of incident CVD based on ICD code diagnosis
Follow-up
Long-term (up to 18 months)

Main finding

Overall CV outcomes · long-term

Adjusted hazard ratio

1.62

95% CI 1.60–1.64

By group

SARS-CoV-2 infection vs Noninfected
adjusted HR 1.62 (95% CI 1.60–1.64)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Outcomeadjusted HR (95% CI)
Specific CV outcomes · ischemic heart disease1.81 (1.77–1.84)
Specific CV outcomes · HF1.79 (1.73–1.85)
Specific CV outcomes · cerebrovascular disorders1.65 (1.60–1.69)
Specific CV outcomes · MACE1.65 (1.60–1.70)
Specific CV outcomes · inflammatory heart diseases1.53 (1.31–1.80)
Specific CV outcomes · dysrhythmia1.44 (1.42–1.46)
Specific CV outcomes · thrombotic disorders1.42 (1.35–1.48)

Absolute risk: stroke and ischemic heart disease

Stroke

Ischemic heart disease

Time course, severity, vaccination, viral era, validation

Increased risk persisted up to 18 months, highest 1 to 6 months after infection
Risk pronounced with COVID-19 severity; decreased with complete vaccination and booster doses
Similar risk across pre-delta, delta and omicron eras
Similar patterns in the validation cohort

Original publication

Burden of Cardiovascular Outcomes After SARS-CoV-2 Infection in South Korea and Japan: A Binational Population-Based Cohort Study. Circulation. Published 4 June 2025. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.125.073086

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it