Prevention & lipidsResearch article

Cardiovascular disease burden attributable to non-optimal temperature: analysis of the 1990–2019 global burden of disease

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Global burden of disease analysis
  • 1990–2019 GBD methodology
  • stratified by sociodemographic index (SDI) and world region

Authors' conclusion

Non-optimal temperatures are significantly associated with global CVD deaths and DALYs, underscoring the significant impact of temperature on public health.

Study context

Population
Global population, 1990–2019
Comparison
Non-optimal (low and high) temperature vs location-specific theoretical minimum-risk exposure level
Outcome
Temperature-related CVD deaths and DALYs
Follow-up
2019

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

CVD deaths and DALYs attributable to temperature
GroupCardiovascular disease (CVD) deathsDALYs
Non-optimal temperature1 194 196 (95% UI: 963 816-1 425 090)21 799 370 (95% UI: 17 395 761-25 947 499)
Low temperature1 104 200 (95% UI: 897 783-1 326 965)19 768 986 (95% UI: 16 039 594-23 925 945)
High temperature93 095 (95% UI: 10 827-158 386)2 098 989 (95% UI: 146 158-3 625 564)

Further findings

OutcomeNon-optimal temperatureLow temperatureHigh temperature
Change in temperature-related CVD deaths · 1990–2019
Increase45% (95% UI: 32-63%)36% (95% UI: 25-48%)600% (95% UI: −1879-2027%)

Temperature-related CVD deaths by country income · 1990–2019

Non-optimal and high temperature-related CVD deaths increased more in low-income than high-income countries

Original publication

Cardiovascular disease burden attributable to non-optimal temperature: analysis of the 1990–2019 global burden of disease. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 28 April 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad130

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it