Prevention & lipidsCohort study

Cardiovascular Disease Incidence and Risk Factor Contributions in Adults Aged 45 to 59 Years With Low 10-Year and High 30-Year Risk: Findings From REGARDS

Circ Popul Health OutcomesPublished

  • cohort
  • sex-stratified

Authors' conclusion

Using Predicting Risk of CVD Events 30-year predicted total CVD risk identified a subgroup of younger adults with low 10-year and high 30-year risk who may benefit from earlier preventive interventions. Hypertension was the leading contributor to CVD in this risk category.

Study context

Population
Participants aged 45 to 59 years without prevalent total Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) from the REGARDS study
Participants
6,761 participants
Exposure
low 10-year/high 30-year risk group compared with those with low 10-year/low 30-year risk

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Cumulative incidence of total CVD, women · 10 years

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Outcomelow 10-year/low 30-year predicted risklow 10-year/high 30-year predicted riskhigh 10-year predicted risk
Cumulative incidence of total CVD, men · 10 years1.5%6.0%Not reported in the abstract

Population attributable risk of hypertension for CVD events, low 10-year/high 30-year predicted risk group

Women
57.8% (95% CI, 45.1%-70.0%)
Men
28.9% (95% CI, 14.8%-43.2%)
  • Hypertension was the leading contributor

Participants categorized as low 10-year/high 30-year risk

Share of participants
41.9%
mean age [SD]
55.2 [3.4] years
female
52.8%

Original publication

Cardiovascular Disease Incidence and Risk Factor Contributions in Adults Aged 45 to 59 Years With Low 10-Year and High 30-Year Risk: Findings From REGARDS. Circ Popul Health Outcomes. Published 10 September 2026. doi:10.1161/circoutcomes.126.013409

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it