Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Causal Machine Learning for Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

JACC Clin ElectrophysiolPublished novel causal machine learning framework

Authors' conclusion

Novel machine learning algorithms were developed to identify patients who are more likely to benefit from LAAO vs DOACs. This information can support clinical decision-making to determine which patients should be referred to subspecialists for further examination and discussion of LAAO.

Study context

Population
Adult patients with atrial fibrillation treated with either left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) or direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) between March 13, 2015, and December 31, 2019identified, matched cohort of 28,930 patients · matched cohort 28,930
Participants
744,190 patients
Comparison
LAAO vs a direct oral anticoagulant
Outcome
Primary composite outcome of:
  • Ischemic stroke
  • Systemic embolism
  • Major bleeding
  • All-cause mortality
Follow-up
1 year and 2 years
Methodological detailsOne-to-one propensity score matching, causal forest model, OptumLabs Data Warehouse
  • One-to-one propensity score matching
  • Causal forest model
  • OptumLabs Data Warehouse

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Average treatment effect

−0.68%

CI −1.4% to 0.06%

at 1 year; no difference

Average treatment effect

−2.9%

CI −3.7% to −2.0%

at the end of 2 years; lower risk with LAAO

Further findings

Baseline characteristics of the matched cohort

Mean age
76.8 ± 6.3 years
Female
5,818 patients (40%)
Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score
5.8

Classification of treatment effect of LAAO · At the end of 2 years

Potentially benefiting from LAAO
30.1%
Neutral
69.7%
Potentially harmed by LAAO
1.4%
  • Of the overall cohort

Original publication

Causal Machine Learning for Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation. JACC Clin Electrophysiol. Published 12 February 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacep.2024.12.013

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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