Coronary disease & ACS

Comparing the utility of clinical risk scores and integrated clinical judgement in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome

Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc CarePublished Prospective prognostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

The HEART score, GRACE score, T-MACS, and unstructured ICJ of the treating physician, not the TIMI score or EDACS, performed well for the prediction of 30-day MACE

Study context

Population
Patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with acute chest discomfort (suspected ACS)
Participants
4,551 eligible patients
Comparison
HEART score, GRACE score, T-MACS, TIMI score, EDACS and unstructured integrated clinical judgement (ICJ) of the treating ED physician
Outcome
Prognostic performance for MACE:
  • All-cause death
  • Life-threatening arrhythmia
  • Cardiogenic shock
  • Acute MI incl. index event
  • Unstable angina requiring urgent coronary revascularization
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsinternational multicentre, central adjudication by two independent cardiologists
  • International multicentre
  • Central adjudication by two independent cardiologists

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prognostic accuracy for 30-day MACE
Test or modelAUCSensitivity for rule-out
TIMI0.7987
EDACS0.7472%

AUC

TIMI0.79
EDACS0.74

Sensitivity for rule-out

TIMI87
EDACS72%
AUC for HEART, GRACE, T-MACS and ICJ: high and comparable
0.85-0.87
Sensitivity for rule-out of 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) for HEART, GRACE, T-MACS and ICJ
93-96
TIMI AUC significantly lower
P < 0.001
EDACS AUC significantly lower
P < 0.001
TIMI sensitivity lower
P < 0.001
EDACS sensitivity lower
P < 0.001

Further findings

Patients with ≥1 MACE · 30 days

Patients with at least one MACE
1110/4551 (24.4%)

Original publication

Comparing the utility of clinical risk scores and integrated clinical judgement in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care. Published 12 July 2023. doi:10.1093/ehjacc/zuad081

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