Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Comparison of Liver Fibrosis Scores for Predicting Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

ESC Heart FailPublished Secondary analysis of the TOPCAT randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

In light of these findings, NFS appears to have superior predictive and prognostic utility compared with AST/ALT ratio, FIB-4, BARD, and HUI scores.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in the TOPCAT trial
Participants
3,212 patients
Comparison
Liver fibrosis scores for predicting outcomes
Primary endpoint
Primary composite outcome
Follow-up
Median 3.3 years

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

NFS

0.672

95% CI 0.642–0.702

AUC

Hazard ratio (95% CI)
NFSper 1-point increase
1.10(1.04–1.17)
BARDper 1-point increase
1.19(1.10–1.30)
HUIper 1-point increase
1.44(1.09–1.89)
NFShigh level
1.63(1.26–2.13)
BARDhigh level
1.64(1.25–2.15)
AST/ALT ratiohigh level
1.30(1.05–1.60)
HUIhigh level
1.25(1.02–1.53)

Per 1-point increase, as printed

Further findings

Incident atrial fibrillation (AF)

ValuesHR (95% CI)
NFSHigh NFSNFS AUC 0.678 (95% CI 0.622-0.734)2.21 (1.13–4.32)
AUC for NFS higher than other liver fibrosis scores (LFSs)

Any hospitalization and HF hospitalization

High NFS and Health Utilities Index (HUI) scores significant predictors

Original publication

Comparison of Liver Fibrosis Scores for Predicting Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction. ESC Heart Fail. Published 2 March 2023. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14336

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