Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Contemporary Trends in Outcomes After Heart Failure Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries

JACC Heart FailPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study
  • national Medicare data

Authors' conclusion

Among Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF, outcomes improved over time in the prepandemic period, worsened or plateaued during the pandemic, and then improved again in the postpandemic period. Black patients had lower 30-day mortality but higher readmission rates. FFS beneficiaries consistently had worse outcomes compared with Medicare Advantage beneficiaries.

Study context

Population
Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with a principal discharge diagnosis of HF, January 2016 to December 2022
Participants
4,957,054 HF hospitalizations
Exposure
Postpandemic vs prepandemic periods
Outcome
Adjusted mortality, readmission and home time (days alive and out of health care facilities)
Follow-up
30 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted 30-day mortality
Adjusted relative risk (95% CI)
2019 vs 20169.01 to 8.38 per 100
0.93(0.92–0.94)
2022 vs 20209.13 per 100 in 2020 to 8.49 per 100 by 2022; slightly higher than 2019
0.93(0.92–0.94)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeaRR (95% CI)
Readmission · 30 days — 2019 vs 20160.98 (0.98–0.99)
Readmission · 30 days — 2022 vs 2020 · plateaued in 20200.96 (0.95–0.97)

Mortality by subgroup

Mortality consistently higher in men (vs women) and White (vs Black) beneficiaries
FFS (vs Medicare Advantage) beneficiaries had higher mortality; gap widened over time

Readmission by subgroup

Readmission rates higher in men (vs women), Black (vs White) and FFS (vs Medicare Advantage) beneficiaries

1-year mortality

Trends similar to 30-day mortality trends

Original publication

Contemporary Trends in Outcomes After Heart Failure Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries. JACC Heart Fail. Published 16 September 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jchf.2026.103311

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it