Prevention & lipidsResearch article

Cost-Effectiveness of ApoB, Non–HDL-C, and Low-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (LDL-C) Goals for Primary Prevention Lipid-Lowering Therapy

JAMAPublished

  • Economic evaluation (computer simulation model)
  • probabilistic sensitivity analysis
  • lifetime horizon
  • discounted 3.0% annually

Authors' conclusion

The results of this computer simulation study suggest that apoB can be used as a cost-effective marker to guide primary prevention LLT and improve population health.

Study context

Population
Simulated statin-eligible, ASCVD-free US adults from NHANES 2005–2016, statin therapy per 2018 AHA/ACC guidelinessimulated cohort
Participants
250,000 participants
Comparison
Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) intensification by Apolipoprotein B (apoB) vs non-HDL-C vs LDL-C goals
Outcome
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (lifetime QALYs and costs, 2025 US dollars; cost-effective if <$120 000 per QALY gained)
Follow-up
Lifetime

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incremental QALYs, costs and ICER
Non-HDL-C goal vs LDL-C goal · 95% UI
Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained 965 QALYs (95% UI −3551 to 5341)
Non-HDL-C goal vs LDL-C goal · 95% UI
reduction in costs $2.1 million (95% UI -$94.2 million to $92.0 million)
ApoB goal vs Non-HDL-C goal · 95% UI
QALYs gained 1324 QALYs (95% UI −2602 to 5669)
ApoB goal vs Non-HDL-C goal · 95% UI
increase in costs $40.2 million (95% UI -$43.6 million to $134 million)
ApoB goal vs Non-HDL-C goal
incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $30 300 per QALY gained

Further findings

OutcomeLDL-C goalNon-HDL-C goalApoB goal
Probabilistic analyses at WTP $120 000 per QALY gained · proportion of analyses in which strategy optimalNot reported in the abstract25%65%

Cost drivers

Cost of apoB testing marginal; higher costs reflected longer life expectancy and prolonged preventive treatment

Original publication

Cost-Effectiveness of ApoB, Non–HDL-C, and LDL-C Goals for Primary Prevention Lipid-Lowering Therapy. JAMA. Published 5 May 2026. doi:10.1001/jama.2026.2986

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it