Valvular & structural heart disease

Definition and Validation of Prognostic Phenotypes in Moderate Aortic Stenosis

JACC Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Cohort study with cluster analysis and external validation

PerformanceResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.00 95% CI 1.54–2.59

Authors' conclusion

Moderate AS has several phenotypes, and multiple comorbidities are the key drivers of adverse outcomes in patients with moderate AS. Outcomes of patients with noncalcified moderate AS were not altered by AVR in these groups.

Study context

Population
Patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS)training n = 2,469
Comparison
Prognostic clusters of moderate AS
Outcome
Composite of:
  • Cardiac death
  • HF hospitalisation
  • AV intervention
Follow-up
5 years
Methodological detailsunsupervised clustering
  • Unsupervised clustering

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

2.00

95% CI 1.54–2.59

P < 0.001

CV-comorbid
HR 2.00 (95% CI 1.54–2.59); P < 0.001
Four clusters with significantly different outcomes, identified and replicated
log-rank P < 0.0001 in both data sets

Further findings

Outcomes after aortic valve replacement (AVR), calcified aortic valve (AV) cluster (subgroup)

HR (95% CI)P value
AVRValidation · limited by low rate of AVR0.21 (0.08–0.57)P = 0.002
No significant effect of AVR on outcomes in the other 3 clusters

Original publication

Definition and Validation of Prognostic Phenotypes in Moderate Aortic Stenosis. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 14 August 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2024.06.013

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