Coronary disease & ACSDiagnostic or prognostic study

Derivation and Validation of the PRECISE-HBR Score to Predict Bleeding After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

CirculationPublished

  • Risk score derivation and validation study
  • internal (apparent and cross-) validation
  • external validation in 2 trial cohorts
  • Fine-Gray model

Authors' conclusion

The PRECISE-HBR score is a contemporary, simple 7-item risk score to predict bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention, offering a moderate improvement in discrimination over multiple existing scores.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing PCI (4 real-world registries and the XIENCE V USA trial; external: MASTER DAPT and STOPDAPT-2)derivation cohort
Participants
29,188 patients
Comparison
PRECISE-HBR vs PRECISE-DAPT and other risk scores
Outcome
BARC 3 or 5 bleeding
Follow-up
1 year

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination (AUC) for 1-year BARC 3 or 5 bleeding

PRECISE-HBR

0.73 (95% CI, 0.71-0.74)

AUC, apparent validation · AUC, cross-validation 0.72 (95% CI, 0.70-0.73) · AUC, MASTER DAPT 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68-0.80) · AUC, STOPDAPT-2 0.73 (95% CI, 0.66-0.79)

cross-validation
ΔAUC 0.01; P = 0.02
MASTER DAPT
ΔAUC 0.05; P = 0.004
STOPDAPT-2
ΔAUC 0.02; P = 0.20

Further findings

High bleeding risk by 23-point cutoff (derivation cohort) · 1 year

Cutoff of 23 points identified patients with 1-year Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) 3 or 5 bleeding risk ≥4%
11 414 (39.1%)

Alternative score (acute MI on admission instead of white blood cell count)

Similar predictive ability

Original publication

Derivation and Validation of the PRECISE-HBR Score to Predict Bleeding After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Circulation. Published 27 October 2024. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.124.072009

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it