Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Determining kidney function-specific thresholds for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in heart failure risk prediction among patients with chronic kidney disease: a multicentre, observational, cohort study

HeartPublished retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In patients with CKD, NT-proBNP levels must be interpreted in the context of kidney function, as eGFR-specific thresholds provide superior HF risk stratification. These findings support adopting kidney function-adjusted thresholds rather than a uniform cut-off to improve HF risk prediction.

Study context

Population
Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) without prior heart failure (HF), China Renal Data Systempatients with CKD without prior HF
Participants
18,261 patients
Exposure
Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)-specific thresholds vs uniform threshold
Outcome
Elevated NT-proBNP

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Optimal NT-proBNP thresholds by kidney function

Optimal NT-proBNP thresholds increased with declining kidney function, reaching the highest level in stage 5 CKD (eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m²)

HF risk prediction (Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI))

NRI gains with eGFR-specific thresholds across stages 1 to 5
19% to 55%
Uniform threshold added no predictive value for patients with stage 5 CKD

Original publication

Determining kidney function-specific thresholds for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in heart failure risk prediction among patients with chronic kidney disease: a multicentre, observational, cohort study. Heart. Published 26 February 2025. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324679

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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