Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Development and Validation of a Protein Risk Score for Mortality in Heart Failure : A Community Cohort Study

Ann Intern MedPublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Validation of the protein risk score demonstrated good calibration and evidence of predicted benefits to stratify the risk for death in HF superior to that of clinical methods.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure (HF) enrolled 2003–2012 in Southeast Minnesota, followed through 2021development 855, validation 496
Participants
1,351 patients
Comparison
Protein risk score vs clinical model
Outcome
Mortality (prediction of 5-year mortality risk)
Follow-up
5 years
Methodological detailscommunity-based cohort, temporal validation, Development cohort enrolled 2003–2007 (n = 855; median age 78 years; 50% women; 29% EF <40%); validation cohort 2008–2012 (n = 496; median age 76 years; 45% women; 33% EF <40%)
  • Community-based cohort
  • Temporal validation
  • Development cohort enrolled 2003–2007 (n = 855; median age 78 years; 50% women; 29% EF <40%); validation cohort 2008–2012 (n = 496; median age 76 years; 45% women; 33% EF <40%)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of 5-year mortality
Proteins selected for the score (development cohort)
38

Original publication

Development and Validation of a Protein Risk Score for Mortality in Heart Failure : A Community Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med. Published 2 January 2024. doi:10.7326/m23-2328

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