Cardiometabolic & kidneyResearch article

Diabetes Mellitus, Cumulative Glucose Exposure, and Incident Cardiovascular Disease Risk

JACC AdvPublished

  • sequential propensity-score-matched sample
  • Cox proportional hazards regression models

Authors' conclusion

Diabetes by age 40 years was associated with higher subsequent CVD risk beyond established risk factors, with CVD risk increasing as cumulative glucose exposure rose.

Study context

Population
CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study participants, assessed at age 40 yearspropensity-score-matched participants, of 4,931 individuals
Participants
766 participants
Comparison
diabetes vs nondiabetes

Main finding

Incident CVD · median 22-year follow-up after age 40 years

Hazard ratio

2.13

95% CI 1.33–3.41

P = 0.002

diabetes vs nondiabetes
HR 2.13 (95% CI 1.33–3.41); P = 0.002

As reported in the abstract

incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events
103

Further findings

Excess CVD rate associated with diabetes vs other risk factors

Among matched participants, the excess CVD rate associated with diabetes was greater than the rate difference associated with other cardiovascular risk factors commonly elevated in diabetes

Original publication

Diabetes Mellitus, Cumulative Glucose Exposure, and Incident Cardiovascular Disease Risk. JACC Adv. Published 7 August 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.103087

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it