Hypertension

Effect of intensive blood pressure and blood glucose control on cardiovascular outcomes driven by reductions in cardiovascular death and nephropathy: win ratio analysis of ADVANCE trial

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc PharmacotherPublished unmatched win ratio analysis

Authors' conclusion

The win ratio approach confirms the robustness of the original ADVANCE findings while providing a more detailed understanding of the relative importance of individual outcomes. This method enhances the interpretation and communication of composite endpoint analyses.

Study context

Population
Participants of the ADVANCE trialparticipants of the ADVANCE trial
Participants
11,140 participants
Comparison
Comparing intervention and control groups for blood pressure and glucose control
Outcome
Hierarchical composite (cardiovascular death, non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, nephropathy, retinopathy): blood pressure lowering
Methodological detailsre-analysis of the ADVANCE trial
  • Re-analysis of the ADVANCE trial

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

perindopril-indapamide vs placeboWin ratio (95% CI)P value
Hierarchical composite (cardiovascular death, non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, nephropathy, retinopathy): blood pressure lowering
1.11(1.01–1.22)
P = 0.028
NNT of 68 patients
net benefit 1.5% (95% CI 0.2%–2.8%)

Further findings

OutcomeWin ratio (95% CI)P value
Hierarchical composite: intensive glucose controlIntensive glucose control vs standard glucose control1.10 (1.01–1.20)P = 0.027
OutcomeNet benefit (95% CI)
Hierarchical composite: intensive glucose controlIntensive glucose control vs standard glucose control · NNT of 63 patients1.6% (0.2%–3.0%)

Hierarchical composite: both interventions combined

Win ratio
1.19 (95% CI 1.04-1.35, P = 0.010)
NNT
41 patients

Contributors to benefit

Cardiovascular death and nephropathy were the main contributors to the observed benefits

Original publication

Effect of intensive blood pressure and blood glucose control on cardiovascular outcomes driven by reductions in cardiovascular death and nephropathy: win ratio analysis of ADVANCE trial. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Pharmacother. Published 29 April 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjcvp/pvag026

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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