Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesDiagnostic or prognostic study

Evaluation of large-scale plasma proteomics for prediction of heart failure in individuals with a full range of glucose metabolism profiles

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Prognostic cohort study
  • UK Biobank
  • discovery and validation cohorts

Authors' conclusion

This study identified plasma protein biomarkers linked to HF development in abnormal glucose metabolism population and established the predictive models.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants with abnormal glucose metabolism and no prior heart failure (HF)discovery 6517, validation 2783
Comparison
Protein-panel-clinical-factors (PPCF) model vs clinical factors-only model
Outcome
Incident HF
Follow-up
Median 13.90 years

Performance

HF prediction in validation cohort

AUC improvement

0.05

P < 0.001

By group

PPCF

0.823 (95% CI: 0.785-0.860)

AUC

As reported in the abstract

Further findings

OutcomePPCFClinical factors-only model
HF prediction in general population (n = 23 107)
AUC0.807 (95% CI: 0.786-0.829)Not reported in the abstract

Net benefit (decision curve)

Protein panel model and PPCF model superior net benefits over clinical factors model in abnormal glucose metabolism population

Original publication

Evaluation of large-scale plasma proteomics for prediction of heart failure in individuals with a full range of glucose metabolism profiles. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 25 June 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf381

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it