Valvular & structural heart diseaseCohort study

Generalisable artificial intelligence ECG trained on public data for outcome prediction after transcatheter aortic valve replacement

HeartPublished

  • developed and externally validated a generalisable Artificial intelligence ECG (AI-ECG) model
  • transformer-based
  • trained exclusively on publicly available data
  • prospective cohort

Authors' conclusion

An AI-ECG model trained solely on publicly available data provides accurate and generalisable prediction of outcomes after TAVR using a single ECG. This approach demonstrates the feasibility of transparent, shareable AI models for cardiovascular risk stratification and supports a general-to-specific paradigm for clinical deployment.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR); additionally a surgical aortic valve replacement cohortprospective TAVR validation cohort, model trained on 341,151 publicly available ECGs
Participants
439 patients

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

30-day mortality prediction (AUC), single pre-procedural ECG · 30-day

AUC

0.85 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.92)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

1-year mortality prediction (AUC)

AUC
0.74 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.80)
  • TAVR cohort

AI-ECG risk score and 1-year mortality

adjusted OR
1.70
Independently associated with major adverse cardiac events and major renal events
  • multivariable regression

Predictive performance in surgical cohort

Predictive performance was consistent in an independent surgical cohort

High-risk ECG features

atrial fibrillation, prolonged QT interval, ST-T abnormalities and low voltage

Original publication

Generalisable artificial intelligence ECG trained on public data for outcome prediction after transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Heart. Published 28 May 2026. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327462

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it