Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Genotype Predicts Heart Failure Independent of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (LVEF), Peak VO2, and NT-proBNP Levels in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

JACC Heart FailPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • observational
  • single-centre

Authors' conclusion

Genetic status, peak VO2, log NT-proBNP, and LVEF independently predict HF outcomes in HCM.

Study context

Population
Genotyped patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (median age 52 years, 33% women)
Participants
505 patients
Exposure
Gene-positive vs gene-elusive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM)
  • G+n = 219
  • G-n = 286reference
Outcome
HF-related death or cardiac transplantation
Follow-up
Median 10.6 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

5.86

95% CI 2.26–15.25

P < 0.001

Events by group

G+ vs G-
HR 5.86 (95% CI 2.26–15.25); P < 0.001
Log NT-proBNP independently associated with heart failure (HF) outcomes (HR 2.46; 95% CI 1.59-3.80)
P < 0.001
Peak VO2 independently associated with HF outcomes (HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.82-0.98)
P < 0.001
LVEF independently associated with HF outcomes (HR 0.74 per 5% increment; 95% CI 0.63-0.86)
P < 0.001
Primary outcome overall
34 patients (6.7%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

Cardiac death, arrhythmic events, all-cause mortality (overall)

Cardiac death
60 patients (11.9%)
Arrhythmic events
34 (6.7%)
All-cause death
115 (22.8%)

Original publication

Genotype Predicts Heart Failure Independent of LVEF, Peak VO2, and NT-proBNP Levels in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy. JACC Heart Fail. Published 10 June 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jchf.2026.103149

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it