Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Heart Failure Among 173,000 Community-Dwelling Participants From 25 Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Countries in the PURE Study

J Am Coll CardiolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

HF incidence and associated mortality vary substantially across countries at different levels of economic development and by geographic region. Hypertension is the largest population-level risk factor for HF globally.

Study context

Population
Community-dwelling individuals from 25 high-income countries (HICs), upper middle-income countries (UMICs), lower middle-income countries (LMICs) and low-income countries (LICs) (PURE study)
Participants
172,653 individuals25 countries
Exposure
Heart failure (HF) incidence and case fatality by country income group and geographic region
Outcome
Age- and sex-standardized HF incidence
Follow-up
Median 15 years
Methodological detailsmultinational, 8 geographic regions, median follow-up 15 years
  • Multinational
  • 8 geographic regions
  • Median follow-up 15 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Standardized incident HF rate
Overall standardized HF incidence per 1,000 person-years
0.39 (95% CI 0.36-0.41)
Sub-Saharan Africa
1.18 (95% CI 0.95- 1.41)
Europe and Central Asia
0.86 (95% CI 0.72-1.00)
South Asia, lowest
0.19 (95% CI 0.15-0.22)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHICsLICs
30-day case fatality · highest in LICs, lowest in HICs11%59%
5-year case fatality after HF diagnosis · highest in LICs, lowest in HICs28%77%
30-day case fatality — South Asia
63%
30-day case fatality — Sub-Saharan Africa
63%
30-day case fatality — North America, lowest
12%
5-year case fatality after HF diagnosis — South Asia
81%
5-year case fatality after HF diagnosis — Sub-Saharan Africa
75%
5-year case fatality after HF diagnosis — North America, lowest
25%

PAF for incident HF from 13 modifiable risk factors

PAF attributable to the 13 modifiable risk factors
>71%
Hypertension, largest PAF
25%

Original publication

Heart Failure Among 173,000 Community-Dwelling Participants From 25 Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Countries in the PURE Study. J Am Coll Cardiol. Published 22 April 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2026.02.5085

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