Valvular & structural heart disease

How can progression be predicted in patients with mild to moderate aortic valve stenosis?

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

AoV Doppler-derived dP/dt above 600 mmHg/s was associated with risk of AS progression to the severe stage in patients with mild to moderate AS.

Study context

Population
Patients with mild to moderate aortic stenosis (AS) (Vmax between 2 and 4 m/s) by echocardiographic criteria
Participants
481 patients
Exposure
Mild AS vs Moderate AS
  • Mild ASn = 404
  • Moderate ASn = 77
Outcome
Progression to severe AS
Follow-up
Median 2.7 years
Methodological detailsAoV dP/dt measured as time for AoV jet velocity to rise from 1 m/s to 2 m/s
  • AoV dP/dt measured as time for AoV jet velocity to rise from 1 m/s to 2 m/s

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Multivariable logistic regression
Estimate (95% CI)P value
AoV calcium score (initial)
aOR 1.79(1.18–2.73)
P = 0.006
AoV Doppler-derived dP/dt
aOR 1.52 per 100 mmHg/s higher dP/dt(1.10–2.05)
P = 0.012

Per 100 mmHg/s higher dP/dt, as printed

AoV Doppler-derived dP/dt predicting progression to severe AS, AUC
0.868
dP/dt cut-off value
600 mmHg/s

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

How can progression be predicted in patients with mild to moderate aortic valve stenosis? Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 9 May 2023. doi:10.1093/ehjci/jead099

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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