Prevention & lipids

Identifying Patterns of Tobacco Use and Associated Cardiovascular Disease Risk Through Machine Learning Analysis of Urine Biomarkers

JACC AdvPublished longitudinal retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Composite outcome of heart failure, myocardial infarction, or strokeResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.24 95% CI 1.17–4.30

Authors' conclusion

Our categorization of exposure through cluster analysis provides a potential tool for evaluating the use of emerging tobacco products and establishing a connection between novel exposures and cardiovascular risk. This approach may contribute to the validation of a valuable tool for assessing the risk associated with the use of different tobacco products.

Study context

Population
Individuals in the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health data set
Participants
6,463 individuals
Exposure
Associations between clusters and a primary composite outcome of heart failure, myocardial infarction, or stroke
Outcome
composite outcome of:
  • Heart failure
  • Myocardial infarction
  • Stroke
Methodological detailscluster analysis, geometric mean modeling, Cox proportional hazard modeling
  • Cluster analysis
  • Geometric mean modeling
  • Cox proportional hazard modeling

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

2.24

95% CI 1.17–4.30

Cluster 2 vs cluster 1
HR 2.24 (95% CI 1.17–4.30)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

All clusters showed elevated biomarkers of oxidative stress and inflammation compared to cluster 1, with clusters 2 and 3 showing the highest levels

Original publication

Identifying Patterns of Tobacco Use and Associated Cardiovascular Disease Risk Through Machine Learning Analysis of Urine Biomarkers. JACC Adv. Published 22 February 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101630

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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