Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Incidence, predictors, and outcomes of atrial fibrillation and stroke after heart transplantation

Heart RhythmPublished

  • retrospective study
  • high-volume center
+1 more
  • high-volume center

Authors' conclusion

AF after HT is associated with reduced long-term survival. Both donor and recipient factors contribute, and donor age-derived CHA2DS2-VASc scoring may aid risk stratification and surveillance.

Study context

Population
Adult patients who underwent heart transplantation (HT) at a high-volume center between January 1, 2005, and September 30, 2024median age 55 years [interquartile range 45–63], 75% male
Participants
1,072 patients
Exposure
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after HT vs patients without AF
  • AFn = 111

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

AF incidence after HT

AF occurred, most commonly as late or combined early and late AF

11% (n = 111)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Survival · 5 years · lower in patients with AF

P < 0.01

Predictors of early AF

Donor age, post-HT extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and pericardial effusion predicted early AF

Predictors of late AF

Rejection, cardiac allograft vasculopathy, and early AF predicted late AF

Stroke

Stroke occurred
9% of patients
Independently associated with pre-HT mechanical circulatory support and ischemic time but not AF

CHA2DS2-VASc scores

Scores incorporating recipient and donor factors predicted post-HT stroke; the donor-derived score also predicted AF

Survival · 5 years

lower in patients with AF (72% vs 86%; P < .01)

Original publication

Incidence, predictors, and outcomes of atrial fibrillation and stroke after heart transplantation. Heart Rhythm. Published 24 February 2026. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2026.02.022

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it