Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesDiagnostic or prognostic study

Left atrial reservoir strain for predicting progression to end-stage in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc ImagingPublished

  • Prognostic study

Authors' conclusion

Progression to end-stage HCM is infrequent but associated with poor prognosis. Impaired LARS independently predicts disease progression beyond conventional markers, supporting its role in risk stratification.

Study context

Population
Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) between 2007 and 2023 who underwent ≥1 year of follow-up echocardiographyCardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) subcohort of 491 patients with baseline CMR · CMR subcohort 491
Participants
925 patients
Outcome
Progression to end-stage HCM, defined as an LVEF <50% without reversible causes
Follow-up
Median 6.5 years (interquartile range: 3.3-10.7)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted hazard ratio

1.10

95% CI 1.04–1.17

P < 0.001

per 1% decrease in LARS
adjusted HR 1.10 (95% CI 1.04–1.17); P < 0.001

Per 1% decrease in LARS, as printed

Patients progressed to end-stage HCM
35 patients (3.8%)
10-year cumulative incidence
4.4%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.5-6.2%

Further findings

LARS as predictor after adjusting for LGE% (CMR subcohort)

Comparisonadjusted HR (95% CI)P value
LARS · adjusted for late gadolinium enhancement (LGE%)1.11 (1.02–1.20)P = 0.011

Incremental prognostic value of adding LARS to a model including LVEF, left ventricular (LV) apical aneurysm, and left atrial (LA) size

global χ2
27.1 to 40.1
Similar incremental value in models including LGE% in the CMR subcohort
  • P < 0.001

Cardiovascular event-free survival after progression to end-stage HCM · 2 years

2-year cardiovascular event-free survival rate
71.0%

Original publication

Left atrial reservoir strain for predicting progression to end-stage in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 16 June 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjci/jeag150

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it