Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Long-term prognostic value of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

ESC Heart FailPublished

  • longitudinal study

Authors' conclusion

In this long follow-up study, CPET is a powerful prognostic tool in HCM. A reduced peak VO2 identifies those at higher risk, highlighting the potential for CPET to improve risk stratification, even among patients classified as NYHA Class I.

Study context

Population
Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients who underwent symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET)HCM patients, New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class I 98, Class II 48, Class III 8 · NYHA Class I 98 · NYHA Class II 48 · NYHA Class III 8
Participants
154 patients
Exposure
PVO2% < 60 vs NYHA Class >I

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

MACE:
  • SRT
  • ES-HCM
  • SCD
  • HF-related death
  • HT
· mean follow-up of 12 ± 9 years
patients experiencing major adverse cardiac events (MACE)
38
Septal reduction therapies (SRT)
9
End-stage HCM (ES-HCM)
11
Sudden cardiac death (SCD)
10
HF/heart transplantation (HT)
8

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Independent predictors of MACE (multivariable analysis)

ComparisonHR (95% CI)P value
PVO2% < 60 · multivariable analysis4.16 (1.89–9.14)P < 0.001
NYHA Class >I · multivariable analysis2.27 (1.06–4.89)P = 0.036

Predictor of MACE with SRT as a competing risk

ComparisonHR (95% CI)P value
PVO2% < 60 · the only predictor of MACE · SRT as a competing risk3.966 (1.626–9.670)P = 0.002

Predictor of MACE among asymptomatic patients (NYHA Class I)

ComparisonHR (95% CI)P value
PVO2% < 60 · only significant predictor · also confirmed in the competing risk analysis5.611 (1.635–19.253)P = 0.006

Predictor of MACE among asymptomatic patients (NYHA Class I)

risk divergence evident after nearly 15 years of follow-up

Original publication

Long-term prognostic value of cardiopulmonary exercise testing in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. ESC Heart Fail. Published 22 January 2026. doi:10.1093/eschf/xvag013

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it