Cohort study

Long-term pulse pressure trajectories and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: the Tromsø Study

Eur Heart JPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • population-based
  • group-based trajectory modelling

Authors' conclusion

Long-term elevated pulse pressure trajectories were independently associated with increased risk of AF in women, but not in men.

Study context

Population
Women and men aged ≥20 years attending ≥2 of 3 Tromsø Study surveys 1986–2001, followed for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) through 2016women n = 8331
Exposure
Long-term pulse pressure trajectory groups
Outcome
Incident AF
Follow-up
Throughout 2016

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident AF in women
women
Each group vs group 1Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)
Group 2
1.60(1.23–2.09)
Group 3
2.78(1.93–4.02)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incident AF over follow-up, by sex

Original publication

Long-term pulse pressure trajectories and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: the Tromsø Study. Eur Heart J. Published 17 January 2025. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf005

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it