Aortic & peripheral vascular disease

Machine Learning Detects Symptomatic Plaques in Patients With Carotid Atherosclerosis on CT Angiography

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

This study presented an interpretable machine learning model that accurately identifies symptomatic carotid plaques using computed tomography angiography derived plaque composition features

Study context

Population
Patients with symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis undergoing CT angiography, March 2013–October 2019163 derivation, 106 testing
Participants
268 patients
Comparison
CT angiography–based machine learning model vs traditional logit analysis (degree of stenosis, intraplaque hemorrhage, plaque composition)
Outcome
Detection of symptomatic carotid plaques (associated with cerebrovascular events): discrimination (AUC) and calibration
Methodological detailsretrospective, single-centre, repeated 10-fold cross-validation, dedicated testing cohort
  • Retrospective
  • Single-centre
  • Repeated 10-fold cross-validation
  • Dedicated testing cohort

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AUC for symptomatic plaque
Test or modelAUC
Machine learning0.89
Degree of stenosis0.51
Intraplaque hemorrhage0.69
Plaque composition0.78

AUC

Machine learning0.89
Degree of stenosis0.51
Intraplaque hemorrhage0.69
Plaque composition0.78
  • Machine learning vs Degree of stenosis: P < 0.001
  • Machine learning vs Intraplaque hemorrhage: P < 0.001
  • Machine learning vs Plaque composition: P < 0.001

Further findings

Plaque components associated with symptomatic status (adjusted)

OR (95% CI)
Intraplaque hemorrhage to lipid volume ratio ≥50%38.5 (10.1–205.1)
Intraplaque hemorrhage volume ≥10%18.5 (5.7–69.4)

Internal validation

Comparable performance on internal validation

Original publication

Machine Learning Detects Symptomatic Plaques in Patients With Carotid Atherosclerosis on CT Angiography. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 18 June 2024. doi:10.1161/circimaging.123.016274

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