Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Medicare coverage gap status, adherence to oral anticoagulation, and stroke rates in patients with atrial fibrillation

Am Heart JPublished claims data analysis

Authors' conclusion

OAC use decreased upon entering the coverage gap and was associated with an increased stroke risk, that persisted for the rest of the calendar year. Health policy decisions regarding Medicare can have unintended adverse public health consequences, highlighting the importance of assessing the impact of such policy changes.

Study context

Population
Medicare Part D beneficiaries with atrial fibrillation (AF), Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services claims data 2016 to 2018
Comparison
Oral anticoagulant (OAC) proportion of days covered and hazard of stroke before, during, and after the coverage gap
Outcome
Median proportion of days covered on OAC, patients who entered the coverage gap

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Pregap

0.92

median · IQR 0.80–0.97

In-gap

0.76

median · IQR 0.41–0.98

Decrease in median proportion of days covered from pregap to in-gap
16%

Further findings

OutcomePregapIn-gapPostgap
Proportion of days covered, patients who entered and then left the coverage gapContinued to drop despite regaining coverage0.95 (IQR 0.85–0.98)0.88 (IQR 0.55–0.97)0.70 (IQR 0.00–1.00)

Stroke risk, patients who entered the gap

While in the gap, HR
2.21, 95% CI 1.91-2.54
Combined in-gap and postgap periods, HR
3.13, 95% CI 2.71-3.62
  • Comparator period not stated in the abstract

Original publication

Medicare coverage gap status, adherence to oral anticoagulation, and stroke rates in patients with atrial fibrillation. Am Heart J. Published 6 August 2025. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2025.07.072

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