Prevention & lipids

Menopausal Hormone Therapy and Cardiovascular Risk in Midlife Women With Vasomotor Symptoms

JAMA Intern MedPublished Cohort data used to emulate a sequence of target trials

Main finding · Fatal and nonfatal CVD eventsResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 0.78 95% CI 0.62–0.98

Authors' conclusion

The presented results are pooled from all target trials and found that MHT initiation during perimenopause or recently postmenopausal women with vasomotor symptoms was estimated to reduce CVD risk by 22%. Benefits were more pronounced in Black women and women who initiated MHT within 10 years of menopause onset. However, all estimates warrant caution given the potential for residual confounding. Given the inconsistency of the cardiovascular benefits and the need to consider overall risk-benefit balance, these findings should not be used to support MHT for CVD prevention.

Study context

Population
Perimenopausal and recently postmenopausal women with self-reported vasomotor symptoms, CVD-free, with no prior menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use (SWAN, 1997–2017)women who reported any vasomotor symptoms, 755 initiated MHT
Participants
2,737 participants
Exposure
MHT initiation vs noninitiation
  • MHT initiationn = 755
Outcome
Fatal and nonfatal CVD events
Follow-up
20-year follow-up period
Methodological detailsmultiethnic, multicenter, longitudinal
  • Multiethnic
  • Multicenter
  • Longitudinal

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted hazard ratio

0.78

95% CI 0.62–0.98

MHT initiation vs noninitiation
aHR 0.78 (95% CI 0.62–0.98)
Fatal and nonfatal CVD events occurred
224

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeaHR (95% CI)
CVD events by timing of MHT initiation from onset of menopauseInitiating MHT 10 or fewer years from onset of menopause0.73 (0.58–0.93)
CVD events by timing of MHT initiation from onset of menopauseInitiating MHT more than 10 years from onset of menopause1.53 (0.66–3.52)
CVD events by race and ethnicityBlack women0.51 (0.33–0.81)
OutcomeMHT initiationNoninitiation
Age of MHT initiatorsmean 53.7 (SD 4.6) yearsNot reported in the abstractnoninitiation: not reported in the abstract
  • CVD events by timing of MHT initiation from onset of menopause: P value for interaction: .02
  • CVD events by race and ethnicity: P value for interaction = .007

CVD events by race and ethnicity

No clear effects observed in White women or women of other races

Original publication

Menopausal Hormone Therapy and Cardiovascular Risk in Midlife Women With Vasomotor Symptoms. JAMA Intern Med. Published 8 September 2026. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2026.2922

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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