Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesMeta-analysis

Meta-Analysis of Penetrance and Systematic Review on Transition to Disease in Genetic Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

CirculationPublished

  • Systematic review and meta-analysis
  • random-effects generalized linear mixed model

Authors' conclusion

The penetrance of P/LP variants is highly variable and influenced by currently undefined and context-dependent genetic and environmental factors.

Study context

Population
Carriers of P/LP variants in sarcomere or sarcomere-related genes (genetic hypertrophic cardiomyopathy)455 full-text manuscripts assessed
Comparison
Clinically-based studies vs population or community-based studies
Outcome
Penetrance (proportion of P/LP variant carriers who develop HCM)

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Penetrance of sarcomere P/LP variants

Family/clinical studies: penetrance across all genes in nonproband relatives carrying P/LP variants identified during cascade screening

57% (95% CI, 52%-63%)

Population-based studies: penetrance of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in incidentally identified P/LP variant carriers

≈11% (0% in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities to 18% in UK Biobank)

Further pooled results

Prevalence of sarcomere variants

Family/clinical studies: prevalence of sarcomere variants in patients diagnosed with HCM
34%
Population-based studies: P/LP sarcomere variants in the background population
<1%

Gene-specific penetrance (family/clinical studies)

MYL3
≈32%
MYBPC3
≈55%
TNNT2 and TNNI3
≈60%
MYH7
≈65%

Age at HCM diagnosis (nonproband relatives, cascade screening)

Mean age at HCM diagnosis
38 years (95% CI, 36%-40%)

Phenotypic conversion from subclinical to overt HCM (longitudinal family studies) · average of ≈8 years of follow-up

Pooled conversion across all genes, from a mean of ≈16 years of age
15%
Short-term conversion, MYBPC3
≈12%
Short-term conversion, MYH7
≈23%

Original publication

Meta-Analysis of Penetrance and Systematic Review on Transition to Disease in Genetic Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy. Circulation. Published 6 November 2023. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.123.065987

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it