Prevention & lipidsResearch article

Metabolic Vulnerability Index and Risk of Total Mortality: Findings From the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Circ Popul Health OutcomesPublished

  • Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Authors' conclusion

Among mid-life adults free of clinical CVD at baseline, higher MVX scores were strongly and independently associated with future mortality, irrespective of incident morbidity-including CVD. These findings suggest that the MVX score offers unique insight into an individual’s vulnerability to mortality beyond traditional risk factors and disease status.

Study context

Population
Adults from all participating MESA sites free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline (2000–2002)adults free of clinical CVD at baseline
Participants
5,887 adults
Comparison
MVX and total mortality

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Total mortality across MVX quartiles · 94 351 person-years of follow-up

Mortality increased across quartiles

from 19.5% to 37.4%

Further findings

Outcomehazard ratio (95% CI)
Total mortality · median follow-up, 17.9 years · minimal attenuation after adjustment for incident disease1.73 (1.49–2.01)
Total mortality, stratified by incident CVD — fourth quartile vs quartile 1 · with incident CVD1.74 (1.38–2.20)
Total mortality, stratified by incident CVD — fourth quartile vs quartile 1 · without incident CVD1.68 (1.38–2.05)

CVD- and non-CVD-related deaths

Similarly higher rates in higher quartiles of MVX

Original publication

Metabolic Vulnerability Index and Risk of Total Mortality: Findings From the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Circ Popul Health Outcomes. Published 20 February 2026. doi:10.1161/circoutcomes.125.013020

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it