Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Penetrance of Dilated Cardiomyopathy in Genotype-Positive Relatives

J Am Coll CardiolPublished

  • Cohort study
  • multicentre

Authors' conclusion

Following a first negative screening, approximately 11% of G+ relatives developed DCM during a median follow-up of 3 years.

Study context

Population
Genotype-positive relatives without dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) from families with dilated cardiomyopathy, 25 Spanish centres
Participants
779 relatives
Outcome
New DCM diagnosis (penetrance)
Follow-up
Median 37.1 months

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident DCM · median 37.1 months (Q1-Q3: 16.3-63.8 months)

Developed DCM

85 (10.9%)

Incidence rate per 100 person-years

2.9 (95% CI: 2.3-3.5)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Independent predictors of DCM development (multivariable model excluding CMR parameters)

ComparisonEstimate
older ageHR per 1-year increase 1.02 (95% CI 1.0–1.04)
an abnormal electrocardiogramHR 2.13 (95% CI 1.38–3.29)
presence of variants in motor sarcomeric genesHR 1.92 (95% CI 1.05–3.50)
lower left ventricular ejection fractionHR per 1% increase 0.86 (95% CI 0.82–0.90)
larger left ventricular end-diastolic diameterHR per 1-mm increase 1.10 (95% CI 1.06–1.13)

LGE as predictor of DCM development (CMR subgroup)

ComparisonHR (95% CI)
late gadolinium enhancement · n = 360, 45% with CMR and LGE assessment2.52 (1.43–4.45)

DCM penetrance and age at onset by gene group

DCM penetrance different according to underlying gene group
log-rank P = 0.015
Age at DCM onset different according to underlying gene group
P < 0.01

Original publication

Penetrance of Dilated Cardiomyopathy in Genotype-Positive Relatives. J Am Coll Cardiol. Published 30 April 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2024.02.036

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it