Aortic & peripheral vascular diseaseMeta-analysis

Peripheral Artery Disease and Atrial Fibrillation

JACC AdvPublished

  • systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

Authors' conclusion

Data from observational studies suggest that PAD may be associated with a 34% increased risk of NOAF. In patients diagnosed with PAD (ie, low ABI), proactive management of common atherosclerotic risk factors may be considered to potentially reduce the risk of NOAF.

Study context

Population
Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD)7 studies, 56,207 with PAD, 26,064 new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) events
Participants
763,919 patients
Comparison
risk of NOAF in PAD patients
  • PADn = 56,207

Pooled result

NOAF (pooled)

Hazard ratio

1.34

95% CI 1.18–1.50

PAD vs No PAD
HR 1.34 (95% CI 1.18–1.50)

As reported in the abstract

Further pooled results

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
NOAF, PAD defined by ABI<1.0 (subgroup) · I2 = 37%1.18 (1.09–1.28)P < 0.001
NOAF, ABI>1.4 (subgroup) · I2 = 33%; did not reach statistical significance1.14 (0.99–1.32)P = 0.07
NOAF, clinically overt PAD (International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision or clinical history) (subgroup) · I2 = 81%1.40 (1.19–1.66)P < 0.001

Certainty of evidence (GRADE)

Certainty of the evidence according to GRADE
low

Original publication

Peripheral Artery Disease and Atrial Fibrillation. JACC Adv. Published 7 August 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.103111

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it