Prevention & lipids

Plasma proteomics for prediction of subclinical coronary artery calcifications in primary prevention

Am Heart JPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

A plasma protein subset that could predict the presence of subclinical CAC was identified but it did not outperform nor improve a model based on traditional risk factors.

Study context

Population
Individuals aged 50–64 years without history of ischaemic heart disease, with coronary artery calcifications (CAC) assessed by CT (Impaired Glucose Tolerance and Microbiota (IGTM) training cohort, SCAPIS validation cohort)IGTM 1,827
Comparison
Plasma protein subset vs traditional risk factors for predicting CAC
Outcome
Prediction of presence of CAC (AUC)
Methodological detailsmachine learning (extreme gradient boosting), external validation cohort, 1,342 plasma proteins measured by proximity extension assays, Models trained in IGTM, validated in SCAPIS
  • Machine learning (extreme gradient boosting)
  • External validation cohort
  • 1,342 plasma proteins measured by proximity extension assays
  • Models trained in IGTM, validated in SCAPIS

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Presence of CAC, validation cohort
Test or modelAUC
Proteins0.691
Traditional risk factors0.710
Proteins + traditional risk factors0.705

AUC

Proteins0.691
Traditional risk factors0.710
Proteins + traditional risk factors0.705
  • Proteins vs Traditional risk factors: P = 0.17
  • Proteins + traditional risk factors vs Traditional risk factors: P = 0.6

Further findings

Correlation of the 44 proteins with traditional risk factors

Most of the 44 proteins highly correlated with traditional risk factors

Original publication

Plasma proteomics for prediction of subclinical coronary artery calcifications in primary prevention. Am Heart J. Published 5 February 2024. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2024.01.011

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