Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Predicting arrhythmic event score in Brugada syndrome: Worldwide pooled analysis with internal and external validation

Heart RhythmPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis with risk score development and validation

An erratum to this article was published (Heart Rhythm, Sep 2024 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

The PAT score was shown to be useful in predicting MAE for primary prevention in patients with Brugada syndrome.

Study context

Population
Patients with Brugada syndrome
Participants
7,358 patients67 studies
Comparison
PAT score vs BRUGADA-RISK score, Shanghai Score System and Sieira et al score
Outcome
Discrimination for major arrhythmic events (ROC analysis) in external validation cohort
Methodological detailsinternal validation, external validation, Internal validation: 105 Asian patients (follow-up 8.0 ± 4.1 years), External validation: 164 multiracial patients (mean follow-up 8.0 ± 6.9 years)
  • Internal validation
  • External validation
  • Internal validation: 105 Asian patients (follow-up 8.0 ± 4.1 years)
  • External validation: 164 multiracial patients (mean follow-up 8.0 ± 6.9 years)

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for MAE (ROC), external validation cohort
GroupROC
PAT score0.9671
BRUGADA-RISK score0.7210
Shanghai Score System0.7079
Sieira et al score0.8174

ROC

PAT score0.9671
BRUGADA-RISK score0.7210
Shanghai Score System0.7079
Sieira et al score0.8174
  • PAT score vs BRUGADA-RISK score: P = 0.006
  • PAT score vs Shanghai Score System: P = 0.003
  • PAT score vs Sieira et al score: P = 0.026

Further pooled results

First major arrhythmic events (MAE), PAT score ≥ 10
95.5% · sensitivity · specificity 89.1% · ROC 0.9460
Recurrent MAE, PAT score ≥ 10
15.4% · sensitivity · specificity 93.3% · ROC 0.7061

Pooled risk factors for MAE

Risk factors significant on pooled odds ratios (ORs)
15 of 23

Original publication

Predicting arrhythmic event score in Brugada syndrome: Worldwide pooled analysis with internal and external validation. Heart Rhythm. Published 23 June 2023. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2023.06.013

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