Coronary disease & ACSDiagnostic or prognostic study

Prediction of coronary artery disease using urinary proteomics

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Diagnostic accuracy study
  • discovery and validation cohorts

Classifier developed by support vector machine in a discovery cohort of 36 coronary artery disease (CAD) and 36 matched controls

Authors' conclusion

A novel urinary proteomic classifier related to collagen metabolism, lipids, and inflammation showed potential for the risk prediction of CAD.

Study context

Population
Participants with urinary proteome analysed by capillary electrophoresis–mass spectrometry; validation cohort of individuals who progressed to CAD and controls
Participants
965 participants
Comparison
Novel urinary proteomic classifier vs CAD238 and ACSP75 classifiers
Outcome
CAD prediction (AUC)
Follow-up
8 years

Performance

As reported in the abstract

CAD prediction, validation cohort (115 CAD, 778 controls)
Test or modelAUC
Novel classifier0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.87)
CAD2380.71 (95% CI 0.66-0.77)
ACSP750.53 (95% CI 0.47-0.60)

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
CAD risk per 1-SD increment in novel classifier (multivariable Cox)1.54 (1.26–1.89)P < 0.0001
Outcomenet reclassification index (95% CI)P value
Risk reclassification on top of Framingham or SCORE2 (n = 737 with scores) — Novel classifier + Framingham vs Framingham0.61 (0.25–0.95)P = 0.001
Risk reclassification on top of Framingham or SCORE2 (n = 737 with scores) — Novel classifier + SCORE2 vs SCORE20.64 (0.28–0.98)P = 0.001

AUC of novel classifier added to CAD238 and ACSP75

AUC improved
0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.89)

Original publication

Prediction of coronary artery disease using urinary proteomics. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 21 March 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad087

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it