Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using plasma proteomics profiling

EuropacePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This is the first study to demonstrate the ability of plasma proteomics to predict new-onset AF in HCM and identify dysregulated signalling pathways.

Study context

Population
Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM)training set 193, test set 91
Participants
284 patients
Exposure
Proteomics-based high-risk vs low-risk classification
Outcome
New-onset AF
Follow-up
Median 3.2 years [25-75 percentile: 1.8-5.2]
Methodological detailsmulticentre, proteomics-based machine learning prediction model, independent test set, Plasma proteomics profiling of 4986 proteins at enrolment
  • Multicentre
  • Proteomics-based machine learning prediction model
  • Independent test set
  • Plasma proteomics profiling of 4986 proteins at enrolment

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of new-onset AF (test set)

AUC of proteomics-based model in test set

0.89

95% CI 0.78–0.99

Patients developing atrial fibrillation (AF)

Thirty-seven (13%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Pathway analysis

Ras-MAPK pathway dysregulated in patients who developed incident AF
False discovery rate (FDR) < 1.0 × 10-6

Original publication

Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using plasma proteomics profiling. Europace. Published 23 October 2024. doi:10.1093/europace/euae267

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