Acute cardiac care & resuscitationCohort study

Prediction of shock-refractory ventricular fibrillation in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: external validation of an electrocardiogram (ECG)-based approach

ResuscitationPublished

  • retrospective cohort study
  • external validation
  • leave-one-out cross-validation

Authors' conclusion

A strategy using ECG features surrounding initial shock showed robust performance for predicting refractory VF in a distinct patient population.

Study context

Population
Patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with an initial shockable rhythm and 3-s ECG segments before and after the initial shock, Seoul OHCA registry (2020–2023)included OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm
Participants
428 patients
Exposure
Logistic model of 25 ECG scalogram features predicting refractory ventricular fibrillation (VF), AUC compared against the original study's reported AUC

Further findings

Patients receiving ≥3 shocks during prehospital resuscitation

Received ≥3 shocks
202 (47.2%)

Model performance (leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) AUC) for refractory VF

AUC for ≥3 total shocks (primary definition)
0.782 [95% CI 0.736-0.828]
AUC for ≥3 consecutive shocks (alternative definition)
0.805 [95% CI 0.762-0.858]
  • leave-one-out cross-validation

AUC versus the original study's AUC of 0.846

Not significantly different, ≥3 total shocks
P = 0.060
Not significantly different, ≥3 consecutive shocks
P = 0.22

Original publication

Prediction of shock-refractory ventricular fibrillation in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: external validation of an ECG-based approach. Resuscitation. Published 30 April 2026. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2026.111114

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it