Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Prognostic Models for Patients Suffering a Heart Failure with a Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Systematic Review

ESC Heart FailPublished Systematic review of prognostic model studies

Authors' conclusion

Predictive models for predicting prognostic outcomes in patients with HFpEF showed good discriminatory ability but their utility and generalization remain uncertain due to the risk of bias, differences in predictors between models, and the lack of clinical application studies.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF)16 studies · 39 models
Outcome
Development, performance and applicability of prognostic models
Methodological detailsCHARMS checklist, PROBAST risk of bias, Databases searched from inception to 1 June 2023
  • CHARMS checklist
  • PROBAST risk of bias
  • Databases searched from inception to 1 June 2023

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Studies screened
6897
Studies deriving and/or validating models
16
Prognostic models
39
Models externally validated
Ten (25.64%)
C-statistic in external validation set
0.70 to 0.96
Studies with internal validation
Six (37.50%)

Further pooled results

Sample sizes

Model development
119 to 5988
Internal validation
152 to 1000
External validation
30 to 5957

Most frequent predictors

Age, NT-proBNP, EF, albumin, HF hospital stay in last 5 months

Original publication

Prognostic Models for Patients Suffering a Heart Failure with a Preserved Ejection Fraction: A Systematic Review. ESC Heart Fail. Published 6 February 2024. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14696

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.