Coronary disease & ACSCohort study

Prognostic Time Frame of Plaque and Hemodynamic Characteristics and Integrative Risk Prediction for Acute Coronary Syndrome

JACC Cardiovasc ImagingPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study
  • core laboratory analysis

Authors' conclusion

Increased luminal stenosis, plaque burden, and ΔFFRCT were associated with shorter test-to-ACS event time. The prognostic impact of lumen, plaque, and local hemodynamic characteristics was most relevant to ACS risk within a 2-year period, with higher risk observed when specific combinations of them were present.

Study context

Population
Patients who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) and experienced acute coronary syndrome (ACS) between 1 month and 3 years of follow-up351 patients
Participants
363 vs 2,088
Exposure
Culprit vs nonculprit lesions by test-to-event time group
  • Culpritn = 363
  • Nonculpritn = 2,088reference
Outcome
Association of lesion characteristics (stenosis, plaque burden, APC, ΔFFRCT) with test-to-event time and prognostic impact on ACS
Follow-up
1 month to 3 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Lesion characteristics and test-to-event time; prediction of ACS culprit lesions

Among culprit lesions, shorter test-to-event time associated with higher luminal stenosis, plaque burden and ΔFFRCT

P for trend < 0.001 for all

AUC of combined 4 characteristics for ACS culprit lesions, significantly reduced beyond 2 years

0.851 vs 0.741; P = 0.006

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Proportion of lesions becoming ACS culprit within <2 years, by lesion characteristics (vs average 12.1%)

4 characteristics
49.3%; P < 0.001
Obstructive, plaque burden ≥70% and ΔFFRCT ≥0.10
33.0%; P < 0.001
Obstructive, plaque burden ≥70% and adverse plaque characteristics (APC) ≥2
31.2%; P < 0.001
Plaque burden ≥70% and ΔFFRCT ≥0.10
21.5%; P = 0.016

Patient characteristics and proportion of ACS culprit lesions across short, mid and long groups

Patient characteristics, including CV risk factors, did not differ
P > 0.05 for all
Proportion of ACS culprit lesions similar
P = 0.552

Original publication

Prognostic Time Frame of Plaque and Hemodynamic Characteristics and Integrative Risk Prediction for Acute Coronary Syndrome. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 23 April 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2025.02.003

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it