Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesResearch article

Prognostic Utility of the HFpEF-ABA Score for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF) Patients

JACC AdvPublished

  • Cox proportional hazards and competing risk regression analyses

Authors' conclusion

Our study demonstrates substantial regional heterogeneity in the prognostic utility of the HFpEF-ABA score among patients with HFpEF enrolled in the TOPCAT trial. The score exhibited strong associations with adverse outcomes in the Russia/Georgia cohort, whereas its prognostic discrimination was attenuated in the Americas cohort. (Aldosterone Antagonist Therapy for Adults With Heart Failure and Preserved Systolic Function [TOPCAT]; NCT00094302).

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in the Americas and Russia/Georgia cohorts of the TOPCAT trialAmericas cohort 1,726 · Russia/Georgia cohort 1,674
Participants
1,726 vs 1,674
Comparison
associations between HFpEF-ABA probabilities and clinical outcomes
  • Americas cohortn = 1,726
  • Russia/Georgia cohortn = 1,674

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

HFpEF-ABA probability ≥75%

Further findings

Clinical outcomes, Americas cohort

ComparisonHR per 10% increase (95% CI)
HFpEF-ABA probability · HF hospitalization1.07 (1.00–1.14)
HFpEF-ABA probability · any hospitalization1.04 (1.00–1.08)

Clinical outcomes, Russia/Georgia cohort

ComparisonHR (95% CI)
Higher HFpEF-ABA probabilities · all-cause mortality1.67 (1.16–2.41)
Higher HFpEF-ABA probabilities · heart failure hospitalization1.98 (1.04–3.78)
Higher HFpEF-ABA probabilities · any hospitalization1.75 (1.43–2.14)
Higher HFpEF-ABA probabilities · stroke2.81 (1.44–5.5)

Clinical outcomes, Americas cohort

without significant associations with mortality or major cardiovascular events

Clinical outcomes, Russia/Georgia cohort

A linear trend of escalating adverse outcome risks corresponded with increasing HFpEF-ABA probabilities in the Russia/Georgia cohort, excluding stroke

Original publication

Prognostic Utility of the HFpEF-ABA Score for HFpEF Patients. JACC Adv. Published 25 February 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2026.102632

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it