Coronary disease & ACSSecondary analysis

Prognostic value of AI-derived ventricular imaging phenotypes from cardiac computed tomography angiography (CTA) for long-term risk of myocardial infarction: analysis of SCOT-HEART trial

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc ImagingPublished

  • Post hoc analysis
  • within the Scottish Computed Tomography of the Heart (SCOT-HEART) trial

Authors' conclusion

Myocardial radiomic phenotypes based on CTA may offer incremental prognostic value for long-term MI prediction, beyond conventional established cardiovascular risk factors and imaging features.

Study context

Population
Participants of the SCOT-HEART trial who underwent cardiac CTAparticipants followed over a median of 8.6 years
Participants
1,736 participants
Comparison
The prognostic model incorporating myocardial radiomic phenotypes was compared to clinical models based on cardiovascular risk factors, calcium score, and presence of obstructive disease

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Fatal or non-fatal MI · median follow-up of 8.6 years

Participants with fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI)

82 of 1736 participants (4.7%)

Further findings

C-index

OutcomeClinical model with myocardial radiomic phenotypesClinical modelΔ C-indexP value
Discrimination and model fit for future MI events · improved discrimination (C-index from 0.693 to 0.722)0.7220.6930.029P < 0.001
Discrimination and model fit for future MI events — Improved model fit (likelihood ratio test, χ2)
13.5, P = 0.009

Associations of myocardial radiomic phenotypes with age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes

Myocardial radiomic phenotypes were associated with age, sex, hypertension, and diabetes
P < 0.01 for all
Older age, male sex, and cardiometabolic risk linked to increased myocardial volume and density

Myocardial radiomic features associated with MI (univariable analysis)

Features associated with MI, among those associated with cardiovascular risk factors
22 features

Original publication

Prognostic value of AI-derived ventricular imaging phenotypes from cardiac CTA for long-term risk of myocardial infarction: analysis of SCOT-HEART trial. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 10 September 2026. doi:10.1093/ehjci/jeag252

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it